Break down investment into three layers:
A. Capital side (more advantageous)
- Location attributes: Downtown Core/Marina Bay is the core business card of Singapore's finance and high-end commerce, with more stable asset narratives.
- Continuous urban planning enhancements: URA's Central Area planning emphasizes promoting more mixed-use developments and residential atmosphere in Marina Bay and surrounding areas. The Marina South plan adds over 10,000 residential units, indicating a strengthening direction from "CBD to urban community" (beneficial for residential demand and asset attention in the medium to long term).
B. Cash flow side (usually a weakness)
- High entry price: The unit price and total cost threshold for top-tier apartments in Marina Bay are high, often resulting in lower rental yields compared to areas "closer to essential needs/higher rental population density" at similar rental levels.
- Sensitivity to rental cycles: Tenant structure relies more on the prosperity of expatriate/financial and professional service industries; when the overall rental index flattens or declines, cash flow elasticity becomes more pronounced.
C. Risks and frictions (easily overlooked)
- Maintenance costs: High-end apartments typically have higher management fees, facility maintenance, and renovation standards.
- Vacancy costs: For high-value assets, vacancies of 1–2 months significantly impact annual cash flow.
Macro supplement (for calibrating "2026 expectations"): URA data shows overall moderate price increases for private housing in 2025, while the rental index had smaller growth in 2025 and declined in 4Q2025, meaning the difficulty of "relying on rent for high returns" has increased, instead highlighting Marina Bay's capital preservation attributes.